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- Return predictability via an long short‐term memory‐based
cross‐section factor model: Evidence from Chinese stock market-
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Authors:
Haixiang Yao; Shenghao Xia,
Hao Liu Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, Volume 43, Issue 6, Page 1770-1794, September 2024. PubDate: 2024-08-01T08:00:41-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3096 Issue No: Vol. 43, No. 6 (2024)
- Liquidity‐adjusted value‐at‐risk using extreme value
theory and copula approach-
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Harish Kamal; Samit Paul Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, Volume 43, Issue 6, Page 1747-1769, September 2024. PubDate: 2024-08-01T08:00:41-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3105 Issue No: Vol. 43, No. 6 (2024)
- Forecasting Consumer Price Index with Federal Open Market Committee
Sentiment Index-
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Joshua Eklund; Jong‐Min Kim Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, Volume 43, Issue 6, Page 1795-1813, September 2024. PubDate: 2024-08-01T08:00:41-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3109 Issue No: Vol. 43, No. 6 (2024)
- Forecasting agricultures security indices: Evidence from transformers
method-
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Ammouri Bilel
Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, Volume 43, Issue 6, Page 1733-1746, September 2024. PubDate: 2024-08-01T08:00:41-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3113 Issue No: Vol. 43, No. 6 (2024)
- Issue Information
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Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, Volume 43, Issue 6, Page 1731-1732, September 2024. PubDate: 2024-08-01T08:00:41-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.2995 Issue No: Vol. 43, No. 6 (2024)
- A multi‐objective optimization metaheuristic hybrid technique for
forecasting the electricity consumption of the UAE: A grey wolf approach-
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Authors:
Andreas Karathanasopoulos; Chia Chun Lo,
Mitra Sovan,
Mohamed Osman,
Hans‐Jörg von Mettenheim,
Slim Skander Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-23T12:04:33-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3187
- Forecasting house price index with social media sentiment: A
decomposition–ensemble approach-
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Jin Shao; Lean Yu,
Jingke Hong,
Xianzhu Wang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-20T11:05:44-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3188
- Forecasting USD/RMB exchange rate using the ICEEMDAN‐CNN‐LSTM
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Yun Zhou; Xuxu Zhu Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-19T01:04:54-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3190
- Toward a smart forecasting model in supply chain management: A case study
of coffee in Vietnam-
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Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen; Abdelghani Bekrar,
Thi Muoi Le,
Mourad Abed,
Anirut Kantasa‐ard Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-18T06:29:30-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3189
- A new probability forecasting model for cotton yarn futures price
volatility with explainable AI and big data-
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Huosong Xia; Xiaoyu Hou,
Justin Zuopeng Zhang,
Mohammad Zoynul Abedin Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-15T04:41:03-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3185
- Long‐term forecasting of maritime economics index using time‐series
decomposition and two‐stage attention-
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Dohee Kim; Eunju Lee,
Imam Mustafa Kamal,
Hyerim Bae Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-15T04:19:15-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3176
- Forecasting Markov switching vector autoregressions: Evidence from
simulation and application-
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Maddalena Cavicchioli
Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-15T03:35:22-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3180
- A hybrid interval‐valued time series prediction model incorporating
intuitionistic fuzzy cognitive map and fuzzy neural network-
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Jiajia Zhang; Zhifu Tao,
Jinpei Liu,
Xi Liu,
Huayou Chen Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-15T03:05:23-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3181
- Research on occupant injury severity prediction of autonomous vehicles
based on transfer learning-
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Authors:
Na Yang; Dongwei Liu,
Qi Liu,
Zhiwei Li,
Tao Liu,
Jianfeng Wang,
Ze Xu Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-11T06:39:38-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3186
- Macroeconomic real‐time forecasts of univariate models with flexible
error structures-
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Kelly Trinh; Bo Zhang,
Chenghan Hou Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-10T08:34:47-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3182
- A GARCH model selection and estimation method based on neural network with
the loss function of mean square error and model confidence set-
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Yanhao Huang; Ruibin Ren Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-07T07:00:55-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3175
- Shapley‐value‐based forecast combination
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Philip Hans Franses; Jiahui Zou,
Wendun Wang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-07T06:49:35-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3178
- New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of
systemic financial crises-
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Emile du Plessis; Ulrich Fritsche Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-07T04:49:51-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3184
- Short‐term multivariate airworthiness forecasting based on decomposition
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Ali Tatli; Tansu Filik,
Erdogan Bocu,
Hikmet Tahir Karakoc Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-07T04:12:42-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3179
- Corporate financial distress prediction in a transition economy
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Minh Nguyen; Bang Nguyen,
Minh‐Lý Liêu Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-05T08:40:14-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3177
- Design of a precise ensemble expert system for crop yield prediction using
machine learning analytics-
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Deeksha Tripathi; Saroj K. Biswas Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-05T06:59:21-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3183
- High frequency volatility of oil futures in China: Components, modeling,
and prediction-
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Yi Hong; Xiaofan Xu,
Chen Yang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-08-02T08:14:21-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3173
- Forecast performance of noncausal autoregressions and the importance of
unit root pretesting-
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Frédérique Bec; Heino Bohn Nielsen Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-07-31T02:28:32-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3172
- Forecasting sovereign CDS spreads with a regime‐switching
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Jianping Li; Qianqian Feng,
Jun Hao,
Xiaolei Sun Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-07-31T02:18:29-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3174
- Weighted compositional functional data analysis for modeling and
forecasting life‐table death counts-
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Han Lin Shang; Steven Haberman Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-06-24T04:49:23-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3171
- Functional volatility forecasting
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Yingwen Tan; Zhensi Tan,
Yinfen Tang,
Zhiyuan Zhang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-06-17T05:15:23-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3170
- Survey respondents' inflation forecasts and the COVID period
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Michael P. Clements
Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-06-17T04:48:56-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3169
- Reducing transaction costs using intraday forecasts of limit order book
slopes-
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Chahid Ahabchane; Tolga Cenesizoglu,
Gunnar Grass,
Sanjay Dominik Jena Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-06-12T07:55:37-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3164
- Harnessing volatility cascades with ensemble learning
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Mingmian Cheng
Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-06-09T10:11:24-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3166
- Forecasting interval‐valued returns of crude oil: A novel
kernel‐based approach-
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Kun Yang; Xueqing Xu,
Yunjie Wei,
Shouyang Wang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-06-04T07:35:11-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3167
- Structured multifractal scaling of the principal cryptocurrencies:
Examination using a self‐explainable machine learning-
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Foued Saâdaoui; Hana Rabbouch Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-06-01T02:39:15-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3168
- Forecasting Bitcoin returns: Econometric time series analysis vs. machine
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Theo Berger; Jana Koubová Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-31T01:45:02-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3165
- Splitting long‐term and short‐term financial ratios for improved
financial distress prediction: Evidence from Taiwanese public companies-
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Asyrofa Rahmi; Chia‐chi Lu,
Deron Liang,
Ayu Nur Fadilah Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-27T06:18:56-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3143
- Measuring persistent global economic factors with output, commodity price,
and commodity currency data-
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Arabinda Basistha; Richard Startz Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-27T06:15:03-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3139
- Forecasting the direction of the Fed's monetary policy decisions using
random forest-
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Jungyeon Yoon; Juanjuan Fan Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-23T09:59:24-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3144
- Regime‐dependent commodity price dynamics: A predictive analysis
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Jesus Crespo Cuaresma; Ines Fortin,
Jaroslava Hlouskova,
Michael Obersteiner Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-20T08:54:15-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3152
- Seeing is believing: Forecasting crude oil price trend from the
perspective of images-
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Xiaohang Ren; Wenting Jiang,
Qiang Ji,
Pengxiang Zhai Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-19T10:43:30-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3149
- Portfolio management based on a reinforcement learning framework
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Wu Junfeng; Li Yaoming,
Tan Wenqing,
Chen Yun Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-19T06:14:38-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3155
- Traffic flow prediction: A 3D adaptive multi‐module joint modeling
approach integrating spatial‐temporal patterns to capture global features-
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Zain Ul Abideen; Xiaodong Sun,
Chao Sun Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-18T03:26:21-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3147
- Forecasting tail risk of skewed financial returns having
exponential‐polynomial tails-
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Albert Antwi; Emmanuel N. Gyamfi,
Anokye M. Adam Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-15T12:55:38-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3154
- Volatility forecasting incorporating intraday positive and negative jumps
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Yilun Zhang; Yuping Song,
Ying Peng,
Hanchao Wang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-15T08:39:49-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3146
- Forecasting stock returns with industry volatility concentration
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Yaojie Zhang; Mengxi He,
Zhikai Zhang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-14T04:08:29-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3150
- A deep learning‐based multivariate decomposition and ensemble framework
for container throughput forecasting-
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Anurag Kulshrestha; Abhishek Yadav,
Himanshu Sharma,
Shikha Suman Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-14T02:44:15-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3151
- A study and development of high‐order fuzzy time series forecasting
methods for air quality index forecasting-
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Sushree Subhaprada Pradhan; Sibarama Panigrahi Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-10T11:28:56-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3153
- Twitter policy uncertainty and stock returns in South Africa: Evidence
from time‐varying Granger causality-
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Kingstone Nyakurukwa; Yudhvir Seetharam Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-10T10:59:03-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3148
- A multistage forecasting model for green bond cost optimization with
dynamic corporate risk constraints-
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Zinan Hu; Ruicheng Yang,
Sumuya Borjigin Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-10T10:39:43-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3142
- Time‐varying risk preference and equity risk premium forecasting: The
role of the disposition effect-
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Kenan Qiao; Haibin Xie Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-10T09:58:57-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3145
- Takeover in Europe: Target characteristics and acquisition likelihood
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Hicham Meghouar
Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-09T08:39:13-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3135
- Are professional forecasters inattentive to public discussions about
inflation' The case of Argentina-
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J. Daniel Aromí; Martín Llada Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-09T02:32:07-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3141
- Forecasting corporate financial performance with deep learning and
interpretable ALE method: Evidence from China-
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Longyue Liang; Bo Liu,
Zhi Su,
Xuanye Cai Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-05-01T12:44:39-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3138
- Data patterns that reliably precede US recessions
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Edward E. Leamer
Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-30T11:43:48-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3140
- A novel semisupervised learning method with textual information for
financial distress prediction-
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Yue Qiu; Jiabei He,
Zhensong Chen,
Yinhong Yao,
Yi Qu Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-24T06:29:25-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3136
- Forecasting Chinese crude oil futures volatility: New evidence based on
dual feature processing of large‐scale variables-
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Gaoxiu Qiao; Yijun Pan,
Chao Liang,
Lu Wang,
Jinghui Wang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-24T06:23:28-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3131
- Credit card loss forecasting: Some lessons from COVID
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Partha Sengupta; Christopher H. Wheeler Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-23T06:04:48-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3137
- Prediction of wind energy with the use of tensor‐train based higher
order dynamic mode decomposition-
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Keren Li; Sergey Utyuzhnikov Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-14T11:56:53-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3126
- Multivariable forecasting approach of high‐speed railway passenger
demand based on residual term of Baidu search index and error correction-
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Hongtao Li; Xiaoxuan Li,
Shaolong Sun,
Zhipeng Huang,
Xiaoyan Jia Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-14T11:05:02-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3134
- Hybrid forecasting of crude oil volatility index: The cross‐market
effects of stock market jumps-
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Gongyue Jiang; Gaoxiu Qiao,
Lu Wang,
Feng Ma Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-11T04:14:55-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3132
- Are national or regional surveys useful for nowcasting regional
jobseekers' The case of the French region of Pays‐de‐la‐Loire-
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Clément Cariou; Amélie Charles,
Olivier Darné Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-11T04:08:13-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3125
- Forecasting healthcare service volumes with machine learning algorithms
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Dong‐Hui Yang; Ke‐Hui Zhu,
Ruo‐Nan Wang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-11T04:08:12-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3133
- Bayesian Markov switching model for BRICS currencies' exchange rates
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Utkarsh Kumar; Wasim Ahmad,
Gazi Salah Uddin Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-09T06:19:29-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3128
- The mean squared prediction error paradox
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Pablo Pincheira Brown; Nicolás Hardy Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-08T05:48:51-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3129
- A systematic vector autoregressive framework for modeling and forecasting
mortality-
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Jackie Li; Jia Liu,
Adam Butt Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-08T05:30:34-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3127
- Performance and reporting predictability of hedge funds
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Elisa Becker‐Foss
Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-04T09:35:06-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3122
- Constructing a high‐frequency World Economic Gauge using a
mixed‐frequency dynamic factor model-
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Chew Lian Chua; Sarantis Tsiaplias,
Ruining Zhou Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-04T05:30:07-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3130
- Forecasting carbon emissions using asymmetric grouping
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Didier Nibbering; Richard Paap Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-04T04:21:06-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3124
- An infinite hidden Markov model with stochastic volatility
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Chenxing Li; John M. Maheu,
Qiao Yang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-04-02T07:25:57-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3123
- Predicting tail risks by a Markov switching MGARCH model with varying
copula regimes-
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Markus J. Fülle; Helmut Herwartz Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-19T01:14:43-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3117
- The effects of governance quality on renewable and nonrenewable energy
consumption: An explainable decision frame-
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Futian Weng; Dongsheng Cheng,
Muni Zhuang,
Xin Lu,
Cai Yang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-15T08:34:41-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3110
- Forecasting the realized volatility of agricultural commodity prices: Does
sentiment matter'-
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Matteo Bonato; Oguzhan Cepni,
Rangan Gupta,
Christian Pierdzioch Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-11T10:34:45-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3106
- Sophisticated and small versus simple and sizeable: When does it pay off
to introduce drifting coefficients in Bayesian vector autoregressions'-
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Martin Feldkircher; Luis Gruber,
Florian Huber,
Gregor Kastner Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-11T10:04:44-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3121
- Explainable machine learning techniques based on attention gate recurrent
unit and local interpretable model‐agnostic explanations for multivariate wind speed forecasting-
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Lu Peng; Sheng‐Xiang Lv,
Lin Wang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-11T09:40:36-07:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3097
- New runs‐based approach to testing value at risk forecasts
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Marta Małecka
Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-08T12:19:52-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3115
- Text‐based corn futures price forecasting using improved neural
basis expansion network-
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Lin Wang; Wuyue An,
Feng‐Ting Li Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-08T12:19:25-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3119
- An ensemble model for stock index prediction based on media attention and
emotional causal inference-
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Juanjuan Wang; Shujie Zhou,
Wentong Liu,
Lin Jiang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-08T12:19:15-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3108
- Disciplining growth‐at‐risk models with survey of professional
forecasters and Bayesian quantile regression-
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Milan Szabo
Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-07T08:35:19-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3120
- Can intraday data improve the joint estimation and prediction of risk
measures' Evidence from a variety of realized measures-
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Zhimin Wu; Guanghui Cai Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-07T08:19:30-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3111
- Well googled is half done: Multimodal forecasting of new fashion product
sales with image‐based google trends-
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Geri Skenderi; Christian Joppi,
Matteo Denitto,
Marco Cristani Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-07T06:44:49-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3104
- Forecasting regional industrial production with novel high‐frequency
electricity consumption data-
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Robert Lehmann; Sascha Möhrle Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-05T08:19:53-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3116
- Correlation‐based tests of predictability
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Pablo Pincheira Brown; Nicolás Hardy Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-05T08:12:19-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3081
- Forecasting peak electric load: Robust support vector regression with
smooth nonconvex ϵ‐insensitive loss-
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Rujia Nie; Jinxing Che,
Fang Yuan,
Weihua Zhao Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-05T07:50:49-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3118
- Vine copula‐based scenario tree generation approaches for portfolio
optimization-
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Xiaolei He; Weiguo Zhang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-05T07:34:55-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3112
- Forecasting of cryptocurrencies: Mapping trends, influential sources, and
research themes-
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Tomas Pečiulis; Nisar Ahmad,
Angeliki N. Menegaki,
Aqsa Bibi Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-05T03:09:42-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3114
- Electricity price forecasting using quantile regression averaging with
nonconvex regularization-
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He Jiang; Yao Dong,
Jianzhou Wang Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-05T02:31:47-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3103
- Forecasting elections from partial information using a Bayesian model for
a multinomial sequence of data-
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Soudeep Deb; Rishideep Roy,
Shubhabrata Das Abstract: Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView. PubDate: 2024-03-03T07:05:38-08:00 DOI: 10.1002/for.3107
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