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- One AI’s Hallucination is Another Human’s Writing Prompt: Notes From
an Autoethnography Journey-
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Authors: Ralph Mercer Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. To catch an AI in a hallucination, the human must know the answer or know where to find the answer. This raises the question of what happens when both the AI and the Human don’t know the answer. What if the AI's output, the hallucination, was its superpower' Does the ‘prompt and response’ exchange between AI and Human become a discussion between two entities searching at the edges of understanding for an answer' Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-08-02T01:27:55Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241271203
- Organizing Foresight Tools
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Authors: Matthew J. Spaniol Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. Futures and foresight tools support strategy work by structuring inquiry into- and generating information about the user’s uncertain operating environment. Each tool accomplishes this differently, making their selection non-trivial. Scholars have recommended that tools be organized for selection based on criteria such as the nature of inquiry they generate, the resources needed for their implementation, their input or data transformation affordances, the content they produce, or their temporal directionality. In practice, foresight tools are selected by actors under constrained circumstances. With the aim to improve the impact of foresight investments, a selection schema is developed that shortlists tools by how each generates relevant knowledge for solving the user’s problem across a landscape (locus and level) of uncertainty. The paper reports on initial field tests, the resulting refinements to the schema, and proposes a diagnostic protocol for its operationalization. The paper concludes by offering suggestions for leveraging the schema in firms, consulting, and teaching. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-07-23T11:58:23Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241262951
- Exploring Art:Futures Encounters
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Authors: Marcus Bussey, Emily Jaworski Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-07-22T12:23:28Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241267343
- Genetic Aesthetic: The Futures of Shaping Life to Our Tastes
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Authors: Timothy E. Dolan Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. The domestication of plants and animals differs from symbiotic relationships in its literal redesign of one lifeform by another. The shaping of lifeforms with the domestication of both animals and plants from canines to corn via selective breeding, hybridization and now genetic engineering confirms how evolution is governed more by culture and less nature. The focus here is on the theme of design in which we are fully involved as witnessed in our developing numerous breeds for our ends ranging from food to flowers. We created unnatural colors, floppy ears, and no procreation without intervention each of which run counter to what was heretofore natural order. Each of these alterations and innumerably more are artificial and entirely unnatural from a standard Darwinian perspective with market forces now determining the directions that were the province of evolutionary forces. The patenting of life forms, genetic mapping and gene splicing have only accelerated what was already a process of artificial selection. The piece concludes with discussion on the biases that have implications for life on this planet from our meddling with myriad species everywhere. Our preferences for the warm and furry over the cold and slimy is addressed suggesting that futurists should take the lead along with environmental scientists and bioethicists in critically assessing these biases in the context of the enormous complexity which comprises the web of life. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-07-16T07:31:17Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241261613
- The Writing in the Sand. Introducing Sandtray Work in Futures Research
Supervision-
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Authors: Marguerite Westacott, Trudi Flynn Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. This paper presents an open inquiry that embraces curiosity and vulnerability in the anticipatory space of an art-led, Futures orientated PhD supervisory relationship. We use sandtray work to elicit an anticipatory aesthetic, recording emergent data and processes through the dialogical method of duoethnography, and the visual format of photography. We seek to generate an environment that rouses imagination, creativity and futures consciousness implicit in the Australian Research Council’s definition of research. We use a duoethnographic method to collaborate, reflect and provide dialogical ways to surface deep meanings. There is a shared equity of understanding of the research process as a vehicle for engaging with the unknown. Both supervisor and supervisee hold explicit and implicit referent knowledge in relation to person and process. Therefore, it is a collaborative, reciprocal and fluid environment, where 1 + 1 = ∞ possibilities. We use sandtray to provide the location of open inquiry, dialogical reciprocation, reflection, and improvisation. This gives voice to the meaning that is made in the meandering paths between the words and an opportunity to loosen the shackles of business as usual. The sandtray moves not-known material into conscious awareness via somatic/intuitive symbol selection, engagement with metaphor, and projection; each privileging the unconscious. Introducing sandtray process into the supervisory relationship provides an alternative and adjunct modality of non-verbal inquiry that can support the calling of an anticipatory aesthetic through the Futures Senses. While there is rich, though sparse, literature describing the facilitation of sandtray work within the context of clinical supervision of mental health professionals, the introduction of such an approach within research supervision appears rare, or unique in relation to published research. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-07-02T02:50:34Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249714
- Embodied Thinking in the Practice of Qualitative Inquiry
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Authors: Anna Riikka Airiina Armanto, Alina Siru Maria Armanto Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. With this mixed media collage I explore embodiment in the practice of qualitative inquiry. In my doctoral research, I study anticipation in climate-wise farming and sometimes I tend to struggle with Words. Writing about someone else’s futures is a delicate matter and the feelings of getting nowhere often embrace me. As I am sitting in front of my desk, staring outside of the window, trying to conceive how, (and sometimes why), I see the coniferous green, typical Finnish forest growing around our house. There is a need for me to get out, to come and go. I need to re-work the pattern of working as typing with stillness. To have a move and a movement to extend what can be thought as researching. What can be thought as working' Could I wander-around-wonder' I put on my rubber boots and went outside, looking for mushrooms. The first modest attempt to somehow let myself to be immersed rapidly flourished into joyfully thinking with the forest. I was what I found, the embodied personal anticipations right there in the existence and the golden yellow chantarelle (Cantharellus cibarius) popping through the mass of moss like insights. It felt right. So, this piece emerged from the need to do differently. It works as an opening to the process of thinking with movement, to allow and appreciate bodily acts (more-than-typing) as integral to thinking and writing science. What is it to think with drawing, handwriting, walking, ice swimming, visualizing, watching skateboarders, with the forest, on the road, in the airport' Creating the collage of layered materials with my sister auto-manifests that thinking with is dynamic, and I keep on moving to stay again. With my acts I anticipate, and become as what I already am. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-06-24T04:48:29Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241262039
- Films as a Signal: The Shoplifters and the Transformation of the Japanese
Family-
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Authors: Kevin Jae Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. The field of futures studies has done little work on analysis of films and movies, with the exception of the science fiction genre. There has been little attempt to wrestle with and analyze other film genres, integrating such analyses into futures studies. This article makes an attempt at bridging that gap by analyzing the 2018 Palme d’Or winning film Shoplifters by Japanese filmmaker Hirokazu Kore-eda. In the article, we examine the film as a signal of transformation in the Japanese family by comparing this new form of the family to the Japanese family in the past. Using Shoplifters as a guiding post, I contextualize the transformations portrayed in the film with research on and trends in Japanese society. By using Shoplifters, I show how we can use films as guiding posts and as valuable sources of information. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-05-27T02:36:49Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241253091
- Haiku Horizons: Visions of Tomorrow, Creative Mindsets, and Artificial
Intelligence-Driven Change-
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Authors: Elissa Farrow Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. In an ever-changing technological landscape, organizations stand at a pivotal juncture, seeking to harness the transformative potential of Artificial Intelligence (AI) while confronting the spectre of workforce upheaval. This study extends on an exploratory journey into the profound impact of mindset, drawing inspiration from images of the future. It delves into how these mental landscapes shape organizational responses to imminent disruptions ushered in by AI. Employing an innovative participatory research approach, participants reviewed previously created hand drawn images of the future to conduct a thematic analysis and haiku poetry contribution. Participants envisioned a world where AI implementation led to employee displacement. This essay extends on this transformative research journey and showcases participant-generated summative poetry contributions. The essay deepens the profound relevance of cultivating creative and anticipatory mindsets within people as they navigate AI-induced disruptions. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-05-16T05:09:15Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241253123
- A Quantitative and Qualitative Exploration of Futuristic Narratives on
TVTropes.org-
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Authors: Simeon Spearman Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. This paper embarks on a methodical exploration of TVTropes.org, a comprehensive crowd-sourced wiki that documents storytelling conventions across various forms of media, with a special focus on representations of artificial intelligence and future scenarios. The study delineates the multifaceted nature of the platform, asserting that its offerings extend beyond mere television tropes, and explores its potent applicability for futurists and scholars. Through the strategic application of web scraping and data analysis, this research quantifies diverse aspects of science fiction media and the embedded tropes therein. The paper underscores the pivotal role of tropes in shaping societal perceptions and influencing discourse, particularly in the realm of futuristic thinking, using instances such as the impact of “The Terminator” franchise on military strategic thinking as a case study. Furthermore, the research engages in a quantitative analysis of trope density and frequency within science fiction works, offering a nuanced understanding and uncovering patterns in storytelling conventions. This study thus offers a foundational framework for understanding, categorizing, and analyzing the influential images of the future that permeate today’s media environment, thereby providing a valuable resource for futurists, researchers, and media scholars in their respective endeavors. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-05-13T06:28:24Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241253119
- Establishing a Strategic Foresight Learning and Action Network (SF-LAN) at
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)-
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Authors: Andy Hines, Martin J. Vincent, Richard W. Puddy Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. This article chronicles the experiences and lessons learned in establishing strategic foresight (SF) in a U.S. government organization. This has value to the field of foresight, which is seeking to establish foresight in organizations as an intentional capability to explore alternative futures and work towards preferred futures. This work also has particular value to other federal agencies establishing or considering establishing a SF practice. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-05-10T11:30:50Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249721
- Journaling About the Futures- Personal Reflection From the Research
“About Time”-
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Authors: Justyna Doherty Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. The research initiative titled “About Time” undertaken at the Institute of Art, Design + Technology (IADT) in Ireland, sought to develop and assess design-led methods aimed at shaping and influencing attitudes towards the long-term future. The primary focus was influencing behaviours concerning individual futures and the planet. This study encompassed exercises and experiences to explore the intricate connections between past and future, delving into the multidimensional nature of time, art and creativity. Additionally, it aimed to foster positive futures and long-term thinking, reflect on ways to respond to global uncertainty, effect transformative change, and open new dimensions of understanding. The outcome of this research is The Barometer - a template of a journal/sketchbook intended to facilitate deep contemplation of the subject of time and the futures. Filled with creative tasks and prompts, it serves as a vehicle and tool to enhance futures literacy in participants. Seamlessly blending foresight, art, and creativity it extends a playful invitation to engage in reflection, futures thinking, speculation, and world-building. It also serves as a starting point for fostering long-term thinking, by establishing a close emotional connection to future generations, as well as nature connectedness, while addressing the challenges posed by the climate emergency. In this reflection, the author of the study offers insights into the research process, the underlying concept of the journal, and feedback obtained from the test group. The reflection delves into the synergy of creativity and art with future-focused journaling portraying it as a means to enhance futures literacy capabilities. Furthermore, this approach represents a significant stride in fostering sustainable practices and holds the potential to become a robust support tool for resilience, particularly in the face of uncertainties, trauma, and challenging circumstances. Further details: https://pdl.iadt.ie/programme/about-time/ Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-05-08T02:18:21Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249709
- Eve
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Authors: Jai Heiner-Wright, Cat McNicholl Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. The arts have had a historical relationship with holding technology accountable through artists’ speculation on its harmful and redemptive characteristics. As young futurists born into an age where Artificial Intelligence (AI) and related processes have become increasingly integrated into society, we wished to utilise this tradition to engage with contemporary anxieties concerning AI’s role in the potential automation of the creative industries. Using the comic book medium, we speculate on how this automation may prove to be an extension of capitalist exploitation through the story of Eve. Simultaneously, we embrace the more redemptive aspects of this technology’s use. We celebrate non-exploitative ‘machine’ art and the potential modes of expression that it may herald. This is as we do not wish to entirely foreclose the involvement of AI in art but simply question the effects such art may have under capitalism. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-05-06T02:59:16Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249713
- It’s Time!
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Authors: Marcus Bussey, Linnéa Humble Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. This poem examines how we experience Time. It is a call for a wider palette of emotional and spiritual colours through which our thinking with Futures can be enriched. It is accomanied by a lovely illustration from Swedish illustrator Linnéa Humble. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-05-06T02:37:56Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249717
- A Poetics of the Sea
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Authors: Celeste N. Snowber Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. These poems and one video danced poem explore the relationship between the sea, land and ecology and shift the relationship to the ecology and climate crisis through a visceral intimacy. The poems emerge from dancing, kayaking, swimming, walking, in liminal spaces between land and sea. The poems serve as an embodied and poetic place of inquiry. My invitation is for the reader to walk along the shore of a poetics of the sea, in hope that by paying attention to what we care for now will lead us into a future we desire. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-05-04T10:21:30Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249729
- Illustrating Tomorrow: The Role of Comics in Engaging Research
Participants in Disruptive Futures Research-
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Authors: Richard B. MacGeorge Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. This study examines the application of comics in futures research to involve stakeholders in infrastructure strategy discussions for disruptive futures. It employs a graphic novel called “Vanishing Point! Our Built World,” which augments generative AI art with human storytelling to transport participants into a speculative 2150 with a solarpunk theme. The narrative applies the concept of future-self continuity and a temporal discontinuity framework to promote visions of sustainability for both humanity and the environment. The research emphasises the ability of comics to foster meaningful discussions on future infrastructure coordination by incorporating Social Construction Theory, Social Construction of Technology Theory, and Actor Network Theory. Comics being adapted into videos and used in workshops highlight their effectiveness in promoting engagement and facilitating semi-structured discussions. This demonstrates comics as a dynamic tool in futures research and participatory methodologies. Relevant themes: Anthropocene, Ecocene and Climate Change/Post-capitalism/Utopias, Eutopias and Dystopias/Solar Punk and its relations/Artificial Intelligence and Automation/Wicked Problems/Futures and Metaphor/Reimagining Futures Tools and Methodologies. Statement acknowledging use of Generative AI Art and copyright ownership: “Vanishing Point! Our Built World” graphic novel artwork was created with Midjourney generative AI. These images were created using the author’s prompts and ideas. The author owns these AI-generated photos and their derivatives. Synthesia was used to create animated films and AI-generated avatars from comic artwork. Statement on the use of Generative AI in the production of this manuscript: Referring to Author Guidelines on Using Generative AI and Large Language Models Sage Learning Resources (sagepub.com), this manuscript employed various AI tools to assist with research and writing. ChatGPT4 and its plugin, Scholar AI, helped identify relevant literature in addition to traditional research. Litmaps revealed article linkages, clarifying the research landscape. ChatGPT4 critiqued the manuscript. Quillbot improved the manuscript's clarity and consistency by improving its language. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-05-02T06:05:58Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249710
- Works of Art and the Future
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Authors: Roberto Poli Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. Will adding an artistic layer to our future exercises eventually improve them' Why' How' Will this supposed improvement contribute to the entire exercise or only to some of its aspects' Moreover, will such an improvement have long-term, stable consequences or only momentary and occasional ones' The research question I would like to unfold may then be summarized by the claim “Works of art as gates to the future.” Unsurprisingly, this claim needs further qualifications, such as works of are always/often/occasionally/rarely/never gates to possible/preferable/obnoxious future. Furthermore, what does it mean to be a “gate to the future”' To make the future visible' To make the future understandable' To pave the way toward the future' This vast array of preliminary qualifications suggests that the question of the connection between works of art and the future is awfully tangled. I would be satisfied if this paper provides a frame to be eventually improved by subsequent works. Specifically, I would be happy to explain the first, basic question: why works of art may eventually improve futures exercises. I will focus primarily on Nicolai Hartmann, and secondarily on Roman Ingarden and Ernst Bloch. The conclusion I shall arrive at is that works of art can definitely improve futures exercises, because both aesthetic objects and the futures are unreal objects and presents irreducible points of indeterminateness. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-04-30T03:15:58Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249722
- The Iceberg in the Room: A Causal Layered Analysis of Self with the
Futures Sense of Yearning-
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Authors: Marguerite Westacott Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. This Futures focussed paper shares my creative response to a reflexive ricochet of being researcher, to unexpectedly becoming the researched and back again. I am currently using phenomenologically art-led and heuristic research methods to explore the implications of the Futures Senses in tertiary career education. The field of career theory is holistic and multidisciplinary. It draws from psychological, sociological and cultural fields to contextualise human action across the lifespan. Therefore, I work with people in transition and anticipation. This paper emerged from my immersion in the Futures Sense of Yearning and the moment I recognised the futures sense of Yearning in myself. This unexpected epiphany initiated a reflexive response as spectator of, and traveller on, my own transitional and anticipatory experience which was hovering in the spaces between the inner and outer self. Using a Jungian spontaneous drawing technique I set to give voice to what Jung noted as the ‘… two worlds: the world of the external perception and the world of the perception of the unconscious…’. This process revealed latent embodied knowing that surfaced through dialogue with the artwork. The layered emergent data of the artwork is analysed using a Causal Layered Analysis (CLA). The CLA invites diverse and layered perspectives of the subject of inquiry by examining it from the perspectives of litany, systems, worldviews and metaphor. Inayatullah uses an iceberg analogy, to illustrate the layers of an inquiry that are simultaneously exposed and discrete; known, unknown and ‘re-known’. Thus, a CLA of self is used, to reveal the ‘iceburg in the room’, with intention to explicate the meaning of the personal, as it relates to the collective. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-04-30T02:35:58Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249711
- From DeFault to DeSign: Symbols, Memes, Acronyms, Emojis, & Other
Visual Cues Across Time-
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Authors: Phyllis Araneo Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. This chapter explores the wild and wonderful visual world of iconic imagery including current day memes, acronyms, emojis and other common forms of visual communication. The study reviews a range of visual examples and their meanings beginning with the Renaissance through to futures and asks the questions Does imagery have an effect on reality' Can imagery be engineered to have a desired effect on futures' Data collection involves archetypal imagery that has appeared in the past, its meaning and influence on societies to the present-day explosion of optical bombardment through social media, screens and advertising, and their impact and influence on current culture. The data includes a look at conscientious, principled futures generated imagery and its possible connection to the creation of futures. Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) provides a comparative methodology for this investigation though enabling a comprehensive understanding of various possible interpretations of an image’s intention and perception based on analysis of graphic symbology. It does this in the form of a series of scenarios developed from the CLA. Analysis within the CLAs is sometimes aided by artificial intelligence. This is done by asking questions in ChatGPT and expanding/consolidating and/or chopping/changing the responses. From a surface peek at visual data to the depths of underlying meaning within the collective human psyche this analysis seeks to provide a provocative poke at our everyday overlooking of these day-to-day visual assaults. The study aims to offer refreshing insights into the power of an image and its ability to possibly affect thinking, feeling and action across the continuum of time into futures and what this may mean in this current pivotal era of consciousness. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-04-29T07:17:45Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249716
- When the Future Dies: The Here(After)
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Authors: Juli Rush Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. Our futures are always dying and there are futures always being born. There is a liminal space in which we stand and experience both those deaths and births which send ripples through our multiplex systems. Drawing upon fields and tools such as thanatology, neuroscience, and trauma-informed care may allow us frameworks with which to manage not just how we think about the future but also how we feel about the future. There is a hallowed ground where the births and deaths of our futures exist and it takes both courage and creativity to stand there. As futurists, our job is often to sit bedside with others as they nurse and hospice their futures - both imagined and unimagined. Recognizing the skill needed to serve as container for individuals, systems, and the world requires something new from the field of Foresight and its practitioners. With the shocking, global loss from the Covid-19 pandemic, related individual micro-loss, the continuing climate decline partnered with increasing disruption, the world stands on the precipice of new understanding around grief and hope. Thoughtful consideration here allows us to better anticipate futures death and the transitional grief that often accompanies change. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-04-26T06:39:18Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249723
- Two Decades of Causal Layered Analysis: A Bibliometric Analysis and Review
(2000–2022)-
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Authors: Abdul Wahab Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. Purpose: This study aims to analyze 292 peer-reviewed articles and conference papers on Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) published from 2000 to 2022. The paper delves into the scientific studies conducted over the past two decades regarding CLA. Design/Methodology/Approach: This bibliometric analysis offers a comprehensive overview of CLA research, covering trends, topics, influential authors, sources, universities, and journals. It highlights notable figures, such as Sohail Inayatullah and Ivana Milojević, recognizing their influence. The study also identifies the widespread utilization of CLA in futures studies (FS) and metaphor analysis. Biblioshiny, Excel, and Zotero were employed for analysis and mapping. Results: The findings reveal an increasing publication trend, while the number of citations has experienced a significant decline. Australia, the USA, Iran, Finland, and Taiwan are the top five countries with the most publications. Similarly, Sohail Inayatullah has the most publications and citations at the top. The Journal of Futures Studies, Futures and Foresight has published the highest number of CLA articles, while Foresight by Emerald has the most citations. In terms of author collaboration, the Single-authored studies outnumber co-authored studies. Originality/Value: Over the past decade, research on CLA has proliferated due to increased interest in futures studies and critical methods factors. The analysis also indicates constraints in data collection and biases in inclusion criteria, underscoring the necessity for future research to address these issues. This study furnishes a comprehensive overview of CLA research, enhancing understanding of the method and its implications for academic and practical applications. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-04-25T06:47:34Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249712
- Time’s Gifting
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Authors: Marcus Bussey, Cecilia Kristoffersson Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print. This poem is a reflection on the contradictions inherent to futures work. Pasts, presents and futures fold in on each other and this is reflected in the deliberately tribal image offered by Kristoffersson. In both image and poem lies biography and memory both personal and also epochal. Time is sticky and we must deal with that as best we can. Citation: World Futures Review PubDate: 2024-04-24T09:54:19Z DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249718
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