JournalTOCs

World Future Review
Number of Followers: 1

Hybrid journal (It can contain Open Access articles)
ISSN (Print) 1946-7567 - ISSN (Online) 2169-2793
Published by Sage Publications

[1174 journals]

Futurizing DBA Curriculum: A Class in Kazakhstan
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  Authors: Nur Anisah Abdullah
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  This essay aims to share with the community of practice an approach for incorporating and embedding Futures and scenarios into business school curriculum as part of strategy development practice with a view to strike a balance between scientific rigour and practical relevance of management education. Through the conduct of a 3-day Foresight for Strategy Development workshop curated for as an intensive course for a cohort of DBA students at the Narxoz Business School, Almaty, Kazakhstan, the author describes the step-by-step process of building scenarios and shares some of the learning outcomes from the workshop. The 3-day workshop was designed with two objectives; that is, to teach the basic skills of futures thinking by introducing futures studies, and to incorporate the five stages of scenario development process as part of strategic planning practice. While students learned the reasons for and the process of embedding scenarios as a planning tool, and were able to apply theory to practice in classroom exercises, this cohort of DBA students found it quite challenging to have a proper grasp of Futures concepts and methodologies. They were overwhelmed by the amount of contents they have to process within the space of a 3-day intensive workshop. This feedback was not peculiar to this cohort of students and it was a common lament received from the various workshops conducted in different countries including Malaysia, United Arab Emirates, Taiwan, Bahrain and Oman. This was particularly true with those in the developing economies where futures studies is relatively a new discipline. This experience tells us there is an opportunity to fill this void by introducing and embedding futures studies and scenarios as part of the planning and strategy development in Management courses in Kazakhstan.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-06-08T11:45:29Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221094440
The World Future Day Method: A 24-hour Round-The-World Global Discussion
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  Authors: Mara Di Berardo
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  The World Future Day is a 24-h round-the-world global conversation about the futures and represents a new kind of futures method. Launched for the first time by the Millennium Project in 2014, it is an open large-scale global participatory discussion among self-selected future-oriented people from around the world. The work introduces the main characteristics of the WFD method, the protocol of analysis, first considerations about its strengths and weaknesses, and the main results of the 2021 application on March 1. The results are reported in form of suggestions and solutions aggregated in clusters and macro-clusters related to some of the global challenges facing humanity and set a common agenda for further discussion.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-05-26T11:08:06Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221090539
Skills Technology Foresight in Practice: The Case of the Atlas of New
Professions of Kazakhstan
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  Authors: Sayasat Nurbek, Yerbol Sagatov, John A. Sweeney
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  In order to meet the demands of building a workforce prepared to confront 21st century challenges, Kazakhstan initiated a national project guided by the International Labor Organization’s (ILO) efforts to bridge the gap between educational systems and the labor market. The “Atlas of New Professions of Kazakhstan” utilizes a Skills Technology Foresight methodology developed originally by the SKOLKOVO Education Development Center in partnership with the ILO. This article reflects not only on key results of the project but also on the process of engaging a wide array of stakeholders on the impacts and implications of new and emerging technologies as well as some of the methodological implications of engaging in such work. Outcomes from this project have ramifications for national labor and education policy with specific attention as to how students and families can make future-oriented career choices.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-05-26T05:23:23Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221104897
Design & Society: Design as a Force for Behavioral Change at Scale in
Kazakhstan
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  Authors: Noteh Krauss
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  Through an examination of the relationship of politics and aesthetics this paper challenges outdated human-centered modes of design in order to offer a new framework—Design & Society—which accounts for the role that politics, ideologies, systematic relationships, context and narratives play and have played in shaping the lived reality of past, contemporary and future life. Through a deep examination of the politico-design economy of Astana (since renamed Nur-Sultan) championed by former president of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev this paper peels back the strategic layers for the creation of Astana. Relevant to designers, policy-makers, futurists, business interests, and those studying the urban environment in general as well the nation of Kazakhstan in particular, this paper unravels the layers of history, demographic pressures, and geopolitical posturing that have intentionally placed Astana as a force changing Kazakh society forever by causing behavioral change at scale. This paper outlines a three-stage process of creation: conceptualization, materialization, and realization to track the design process of Astana and its effects at large on a personal level for millions of Kazakhs. In the conceptualization stage, the paper tracks the motivators from the past, the present considerations and future goals for the design of Astana. In the materialization stage, the threads are weaved together into the architecture of the three most prominent buildings in the Kazakh Capital: The Palace of Peace and Accord, Khan Shatyr Shopping Center and Baiterek tower. In the realization stage, the impact on the individuals of Kazakhstan is considered. Through this study, the dance of Design & Society and the ever evolving impact of one onto the other is presented as a key lens for all future studies of design.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-05-24T01:08:48Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221095179
The futures dilemma:to be left behind or make a difference
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  Authors: Yelena Muzykina
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  An Interview with Sohail Inayatullah for the Special Issue on Central Asian Futures
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-03-14T05:59:29Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221082365
What’s Next' COVID-19 Both is and is Not a Black Swan (and That’s
Ok): Futures within and Beyond a Time of Crisis
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  Authors: John A. Sweeney
  First page: 3
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-06-02T08:34:07Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221101779
How Pandemic Films Help Us Understand Outbreaks: Implications for Futures
and Foresight
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  Authors: Zhaoli Song, Alessandro Fergnani
  First page: 9
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  We analyzed 30 pandemic films and developed a processual model to explain the social-level coping mechanisms to confront pandemics as portrayed in films. The model describes the underlying collective understanding of disease outbreaks. The model suggests that pandemic films divide the disease outbreak into three phases: emergence, transmission, and termination. Concurrently, three social processes tend to be activated to cope with the pandemic: healthcare, political, and public awareness. This model is used to compare the social imaginary reflected in films with the current COVID-19 outbreak. The resemblance of the model and the current outbreak suggests that fictional pandemic films may still follow our collective understanding of the pandemic dynamics. Four scenarios are suggested as road maps for futures and foresight practice concerned with future pandemic outbreaks.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-02-18T06:03:25Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221076569
Anti-Archetypes Patterns of Hope
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  Authors: Leah Zaidi
  First page: 29
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  Positive stories of change can play a powerful role in shaping systems. In systems-thinking, stories can take the form of systems archetypes which depict recurring themes and organizational dramas. Though these patterns are important for uncovering problems, they also have the potential to help us identify patterns of hope and aspirational futures. This paper will introduce Anti-Archetypes: systemic patterns of hope that allow us to move beyond what is to what is possible. The Anti-Archetypes are not radical redesigns of the existing Archetypes; instead, they reframe familiar stories to reflect more positive dynamics and outcomes.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-02-21T08:48:17Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221076204
Teaching China’s First Critical Futures Studies Courses: Insights
and Issues
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  Authors: Marcus T. Anthony
  First page: 45
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  There is a common perception that Chinese students are proficient test takers, but less adept at critical thinking. There is conflicting evidence to support this claim. In this article, the author first briefly traces the development of critical and independent thinking in Chinese history and outlines the situation in Chinese education today. Secondly, he presents his personal experience of encouraging the development of Futures-oriented and critical thinking in a Chinese tertiary education setting, via the creation and teaching of China’s first extended Critical Futures Studies courses. The criticality component of the program was modified specifically for the Chinese context. An ethnographic approach is taken in the latter part of this article as the author shares details of that curriculum, as well as successes and shortcomings gleaned from the experience. The purpose of this sharing is to assist other Critical Futures Studies educators in setting up Critical Futures Studies courses in China, or in similar environments where Futures thinking and critical thinking have not been emphasized within the culture and/or educational curricula. The article also posits suggestions on how to develop such programs and related critical thinking processes in broader school curricula. Finally, the author reflects upon his/her role as a critical futurist in China, using Inayatullah’s (2018) Causal Layered Analysis.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-03-23T04:14:01Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221076184
Scenarios From Artificial Narrow Intelligence to Artificial General
Intelligence—Reviewing the Results of the International Work/Technology
2050 Study
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  Authors: Osmo Kuusi, Sirkka Heinonen
  First page: 65
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  This article introduces the Work/Technology 2050 study of the global Millennium Project and its main results. The article highlights how (invited) experts from different countries see the development of work and technology until 2050 and how they assess the three featured scenarios based on these views. In terms of technology, the study focused on the potential effects of artificial intelligence, while the role of basic income was given special consideration in the development prospects of work. In connection with the scenarios, the study produced hundreds of proposals for action under five different themes. Besides presenting and evaluating these scenarios and proposals for action, the Finnish authors of the article provide their own reflections and some critical remarks.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-05-18T07:07:18Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221101637
The Past is Holding Us Back: Applying Foresight to Move the Disciplines of
Political Science and International Relations Forward
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  Authors: Angela Miller
  First page: 80
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Ahead of Print.
  This article examines the extent to which the academic disciplines of political science and international relations (IR) are incorporating foresight or futures thinking into their work. The disciplines of political science and IR grapple with important issues that affect lives across the world and have the potential to influence the future in ways that reduce conflict, enhance allocation of resources, and improve processes in general. This article offers a review of the political science and IR literature and course content that incorporates foresight, concluding that only a handful of journals appear to be publishing research that applies foresight. Some academic institutions on the other hand are encouraging a more multidisciplinary approach to resolving global challenges with an eye toward the future in their course content. The article concludes with several recommendations on how political science and IR scholars can incorporate foresight’s best practices to ensure the disciplines are more forward looking and effective at shaping a better future.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2022-05-11T09:27:20Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567221098747
What’s Inside'
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  Authors: John A. Sweeney
  Pages: 175 - 175
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Volume 13, Issue 3-4, Page 175-175, September-December 2021.
  
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2021-12-10T08:39:34Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567211060122
  Issue No: Vol. 13, No. 3-4 (2021)
Dialectical Waves of Change: Using Dialectics, Emerging Issue Analysis and
the Futures Wheel to Develop a Tool for Applied Futures Research
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  Authors: Yannick Dujardin
  Pages: 176 - 194
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Volume 13, Issue 3-4, Page 176-194, September-December 2021.
  The dialectical method is a well-known and often used framework for the analysis of historical processes. We argue that its features could also be useful in futures studies. This idea was confirmed during a case study for an arts center in Flanders, Belgium, when an exploration of the history of the cultural landscape made clear that dialectics would present an interesting lens for looking forward too. The need for a practical tool using dialectical analysis presented itself. This article further builds upon Timothy E. Dolan’s protocol to use dialectics as a framing tool in futures, which is worked into a technique that can be used in applied futures exercises by implementing mechanics that take into account the time it takes for emerging issues to develop within a dialectical process, as well as ways to reflect on those developments over time. In this article, different iterations of dialectics through history are explored, as well as arguments for using it in futures studies. Next, a model of “dialectical waves of change” is created by combining Dolan’s concept of “emerging contradictions” with features of Marxist dialectic, as well as with aspects of existing futures techniques such as emerging issue analysis and the futures wheel. The use of this new tool in the case study for the Flemish arts center nOna is explained and learnings from the project are discussed.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2021-06-23T09:56:11Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567211027343
  Issue No: Vol. 13, No. 3-4 (2021)
Monitoring Emerging Issues: A Proposed Approach and Initial Test
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  Authors: Andy Hines, Bes P. Baldwin, David N. Bengston, Jason Crabtree, Keri Christensen, Nina Frankowski, Laura Schlehuber, Lynne M. Westphal, Lena Young
  Pages: 195 - 213
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Volume 13, Issue 3-4, Page 195-213, September-December 2021.
  The increasing complexity and uncertainty of the future may stimulate demand for more monitoring emerging issues. Futurists have long advocated for monitoring the future on an ongoing basis or for tracking the findings of project work in practice. However, clients have historically been reluctant to invest time and money in monitoring, and little practical guidance is available on how to set up a monitoring. This article describes a pilot monitoring capability that is simple and practical to implement. It was developed as a “plug-in” to supplement an ongoing horizon scanning system. The monitoring system tracks the movement of emerging issues that were identified by horizon scanning. It provides a means to keep policy-makers informed about the progress of emerging issues and provides advance warning to develop an appropriate strategic response.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2021-06-29T10:41:16Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567211027350
  Issue No: Vol. 13, No. 3-4 (2021)
Extending the Participant’s Voice to Guide Artificial Intelligence
Transformation Using Futures Methodology and Layered User Story Analysis
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  Authors: Elissa Farrow
  Pages: 214 - 236
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Volume 13, Issue 3-4, Page 214-236, September-December 2021.
  Artificial intelligence (AI) is a vital driver of the next wave of automatisation of Industry 4.0. It impacts product-based and service-based organisations and is becoming an investment stream in organisational transformation strategies. The transformation teams that deploy AI use agile incremental methodologies that ideally match the learning and adaptation requirements for the machine, as well as the human user who is the source of data and requires a service response. This research outlines a layered analysis process of 65 user stories (a common agile method of obtaining user requirements) generated via a participatory process, involving 110 participants in three workshop settings, in what they determined AI would not do. The results outline the workshop approach undertaken to generate user stories and the analysis of user stories via persona and futures methodology causal layered analysis (Inayatullah S. 1998. Causal layered analysis. Futures 30(8): 815-829). The final component of the analysis generated a futures focussed set of guiding principles that can be used as a lens to broaden the transformation teams perspective in AI deployment. Concepts also consider the importance of futures literacy as a key competency of AI creation teams.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2021-07-15T02:52:43Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567211030377
  Issue No: Vol. 13, No. 3-4 (2021)
Teaching Futures Studies From Disciplinary And Student Perspectives
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  Authors: William E. Klay, Portia D. Campos
  Pages: 237 - 249
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Volume 13, Issue 3-4, Page 237-249, September-December 2021.
  Concepts from the Enlightenment and the historical origins of modern social sciences are used to discuss how futures studies deserves recognition as a social science in its own right and as a needed component of the curricula of other disciplines as well, especially in public administration. In focus groups, undergraduate students who had just completed a course in futures studies identified what they would emphasize if they become teachers of our field. They would emphasize critical thinking, individual relevance and empowerment, interrelatedness, technology as a two-sided agent of change, a risk management approach to understanding crises and opportunities, past efforts to anticipate possible futures, developing scenarios using the Societal, Technological, Economic, Environmental, and Political framework, environmental scanning and backcasting, and especially the importance of Enlightenment values in framing preferred futures. As teachers, they would use technology extensively but were sharply divided on whether futures studies should be taught in an online only format.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2021-07-16T02:13:49Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567211030378
  Issue No: Vol. 13, No. 3-4 (2021)
Co-creating Possible Futures of Light, Beyond Lighting. A Hybrid Approach:
Format Design, Preliminary Findings, and Reflexive Learnings From a
Foresight Practice, Based on a Creative Industry Event Series
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  Authors: Marco Bevolo, Tapio Rosenius
  Pages: 250 - 261
  Abstract: World Futures Review, Volume 13, Issue 3-4, Page 250-261, September-December 2021.
  The research context for this article is a specific lighting industry professional event, focusing on the possible future of light across the dimensions of body, object (both human-scale and building), and metropolis. Light becomes the theme to generate visions and insights about longer term developments from personal, social, and business viewpoints. The event was designed as a location-specific format for the multi-awarded Silo 486, Helsinki, by Lighting Design Collective. The format is inspired by Brian Eno’s 1970s “Oblique Strategies,” therefore an approach derived from fine arts and popular culture, within the constructivist episteme. The specific target of this event is thought leaders and/or the next generation of architectural, design, and creative industry leaders, with an invitation list of 15–20, selected according to the “Elite Club” open innovation principle (Verganti et al., 2008). The event was held three times, from 2014 through 2016, during the Helsinki Design Week, as integral part of its program. The authors were main initiator and moderator of the event, as they designed the format in 2014.
  Citation: World Futures Review
  PubDate: 2021-09-17T08:20:01Z
  DOI: 10.1177/19467567211046290
  Issue No: Vol. 13, No. 3-4 (2021)