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Problems of Economic Transition

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ISSN (Print) 1061-1991
Published by M.E. Sharpe

[39 journals]

Oh, If I Can Live That Long …
- Abstract: The article discusses long-term forecasts for world economic development that were prepared by Goldman Sachs.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 69-76
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991560106
  
  Authors
  K. P. Glushchenko, Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 56
  Journal Issue Volume 56, Number 1 / May 2013
  PubDate: Tue, 09 Apr 2013 16:37:37 GMT
The Neoindustrial Scenario in the Concept of Development up to 2020
- Abstract: The article analyzes the strategic objectives that were set and the degree to which they were accomplished in 1992-2010. It also describes the socially oriented institutional reforms necessary for goal-oriented planning.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 77-95
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991560107
  
  Authors
  A. Amosov, Industrial Policy Department of the Institute of Economics, Russian Academy of Sciences
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 56
  Journal Issue Volume 56, Number 1 / May 2013
  PubDate: Tue, 09 Apr 2013 16:37:37 GMT
UN Project Future of the World Economy
- Abstract: The article is devoted to an analysis of long-term forecasting based on input-output models. The base scenarios for world economic development constructed within the framework of the United Nations well-known forecasting project Future of the World Economy in the 1970s are discussed. Substantiation is given for the idea that the main reason why the forecast deviated from the actual development parameters for regions of the world is that institutional threats in countries of Africa and Latin America and in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe were underestimated. Another reason is the failure to adequately take into account the effect of the energy crisis. The main conclusion is that experts involved in forecasting are able to foresee development possibilities better than threats.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 53-68
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991560105
  
  Authors
  N. I. Suslov, Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 56
  Journal Issue Volume 56, Number 1 / May 2013
  PubDate: Tue, 09 Apr 2013 16:37:27 GMT
Growth Prospects for the Russian Economy in Current Long-Term Forecasts
- Abstract: The article is devoted to a survey and comparative analysis of existing medium- and long-term forecasts of the Russian Federation's economic development made by Russian and foreign analytic organizations. The process of establishing a government strategic planning system in Russia is discussed. Long-term forecasting problems such as the influence of short-term market conditions and the use of adequate tools are identified.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 41-52
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991560104
  
  Authors
  L. V. Mel'nikova, Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 56
  Journal Issue Volume 56, Number 1 / May 2013
  PubDate: Tue, 09 Apr 2013 16:37:04 GMT
The Accuracy and Reliability of Forecasts
- Abstract: The factors and conditions affecting the accuracy and reliability of socioeconomic forecasts are examined. Methods and techniques for improving their accuracy and reliability are discussed from the point of view of a developer and consumer of forecast information.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 35-40
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991560103
  
  Authors
  V. I. Klistorin, Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Russian Academy of Sciences
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 56
  Journal Issue Volume 56, Number 1 / May 2013
  PubDate: Tue, 09 Apr 2013 16:36:59 GMT
What Awaits Russia, or Can We Believe Long-Term Economic Forecasts?
- Abstract: The article examines several characteristics of the current market model of the Russian economy that significantly affect its current and long-term economic dynamics, primarily distinctive features of its interaction with the outside world and the specific nature of the monetary system. Individual principles of contemporary economic forecasting are critically analyzed.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 22-34
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991560102
  
  Authors
  Iu. S. Ershov, Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 56
  Journal Issue Volume 56, Number 1 / May 2013
  PubDate: Tue, 09 Apr 2013 16:36:56 GMT
The Economic Outlook for Russia in 2012-2014
- Abstract: The article discusses the grounds for three alternative forecasts of Russian economic development in 2012-14: a base version (moderately optimistic), a pessimistic one, and a moderately pessimistic one. Results of calculations using econometric methods and a dynamic input-output model of the Russian economy are given and analyzed at the macro- and sectoral levels.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 6-21
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991560101
  
  Authors
  A. O. Baranov, Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Russian Academy of Sciences
  V. M. Gil'mundinov, Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Russian Academy of Sciences
  V. N. Pavlov, Novosibirsk State University
  T. O. Tagaeva, Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Russian Academy of Sciences
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 56
  Journal Issue Volume 56, Number 1 / May 2013
  PubDate: Tue, 09 Apr 2013 16:36:31 GMT
Forecasts in a Time of Changes
- Abstract: This article by the editor in chief of EKO appeared as an introduction to the following six articles translated in this issue of Problems of Economic Transition.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 3-5
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991560100
  
  Authors
  V. A. Kriukov
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 56
  Journal Issue Volume 56, Number 1 / May 2013
  PubDate: Tue, 09 Apr 2013 16:35:47 GMT
Author Index to Problems of Economic Transition, Volume 55 (May 2012-April 2013)
- Abstract: Author Index to Problems of Economic Transition, Volume 55 (May 2012-April 2013)
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 91-95
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 12 / April 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 01 Apr 2013 16:42:46 GMT
  Issue No: Vol. 55 (2013)
Contradictions of Government Policy in the Field of Regulating Drug Prices
- Abstract: The article analyzes the existing model of regulation of prices on medicines in the Russian Federation. The problems of this model are described (especially the fact that it stimulates elimination of cheaper medicines from the product range of pharmacies and pharmaceutical distributors and hinders investments in local development of innovative medicines). Ways to solve these problems are proposed. It is demonstrated that all medicines should be divided into three groups according to their price, and for each group a special method of price regulation should be used. It is also proposed to implement a guaranteed level of profitability for local developers of innovative medicines.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 76-90
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551209
  
  Authors
  I. Kotliarov, Department of Business Economics of the St. Petersburg, National Research University-Higher School of Economics
  A. Balashov, Department of Business Economics of the St. Petersburg, National Research University-Higher School of Economics
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 12 / April 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 01 Apr 2013 16:42:42 GMT
Management of Motives in Health Care
- Abstract: Certain solutions in politics and economics seem self-evident, at first glance. It seems one should simply correct an obvious mistake and the world will change for the better. However, when the good deed has been done, the result may be quite far from what was expected. Reforms can only be successful if they take into account the interests and motives of all the participants in the process. Starting from this thesis, the author discusses the stages in public health reform in Russia and proposes an explanation in regard to why many government actions in this field turn out to be ineffective and fail to attain the intended goal.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 65-75
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551208
  
  Authors
  O. Chirkunov, Candidate of Economic Sciences and governor of Perm krai
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 12 / April 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 01 Apr 2013 16:42:38 GMT
Priority National Projects
- Abstract: The implementation of Russia's priority national projects has not led to the desired results, due to inadequate planning and a complex, multichannel financing scheme.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 61-64
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551207
  
  Authors
  V. B. Batievskaia, Kemerovo State Medical Academy
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 12 / April 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 01 Apr 2013 16:42:33 GMT
Ways to Improve Medical Insurance in Russia
- Abstract: The article considers economic aspects of the organization of mandatory medical insurance in Russia, specifics of the institutional arrangement, financial models of organization, distinctive characteristics of the distribution of resources, and problems of institutional incompleteness. Suggestions are made for improving economic mechanisms.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 50-60
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551206
  
  Authors
  V. D. Roik, Institute of Labor and Social Insurance, Moscow
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 12 / April 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 01 Apr 2013 16:42:20 GMT
High Technologies in Modern Medicine
- Abstract: The author describes the use of high technologies in the treatment of cardiovascular diseases.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 42-49
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551205
  
  Authors
  S. A. Belichenko, Russian Union of Journalists, Novosibirsk
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 12 / April 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 01 Apr 2013 16:41:59 GMT
"We Should Anticipate Events"
- Abstract: The dynamic development of high-tech cardiovascular surgery began in 2006. The Meshalkin Novosibirsk Scientific Research Institute of Circulatory Pathology of the Ministry of Health Care and Social Development has become the leader in filling government orders in this sphere (it performed more than 11,000 high-tech operations in 2010). Why exactly has this medical center been able to take a such strong position in this field? How was the institute's strategy decided? What are its priority objectives? The deputy director of the Meshalkin Institute, Doctor of Economic Sciences Yuriy Viktorovich Zozulya talks about this in the following interview.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 32-41
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551204
  
  Authors
  Yu. V. Zozulya
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 12 / April 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 01 Apr 2013 16:41:41 GMT
Health-Care Reform and Ensuring Equal Access to Free Medical Services
- Abstract: The article analyzes health-care reforms in three directions: the transition to mandatory medical insurance, implementation of a policy to reduce the number of hospital beds and doctors, and reform of interbudgetary relations. What these three directions have in common is that they ignore the need to make free medical services accessible for all population strata, the reforms are haphazard and contradictory, and socioeconomic substantiation is lacking for the necessary spending and efficiency of the measures being implemented. The author concludes that a crisis situation has developed in health care as a result of the reforms.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 12-31
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551203
  
  Authors
  V. K. Bochkareva, Institute of Socioeconomic Problems of the Population, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 12 / April 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 01 Apr 2013 16:41:36 GMT
How to Live Long and Stay Healthy
- Abstract: The article compares and contrasts the problems of health and mortality of the population in Russia and other countries.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 6-12
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551202
  
  Authors
  A. G. Aganbegian, Russian Academy of Sciences, RF Government Academy of the National Economy, Moscow
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 12 / April 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 01 Apr 2013 16:41:23 GMT
From Medicine for Sickness—to Medicine for Health?
- Abstract: This article by the editor in chief of EKO appeared as an introduction to the following six articles translated in this issue of Problems of Economic Transition.
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 3-5
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551201
  
  Authors
  V. A. Kriukov
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 12 / April 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 01 Apr 2013 16:41:09 GMT
Publisher's Note: Subscribe to M.E. Sharpe's Asian Studies journals and receive FREE online access to the complete archives. Special discount prices available
- Abstract: Publisher's Note: Subscribe to M.E. Sharpe's Asian Studies journals and receive FREE online access to the complete archives. Special discount prices available
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 91-91
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551107
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 11 / March 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 11 Mar 2013 19:05:52 GMT
"Official" Inflation and "Real" Inflation
- Abstract: The mass media frequently accuse official statistics of underestimating the inflation rate by half to two-thirds. And, as opposed to the "official" inflation, they report data on "real" inflation, which, it is claimed, reflect the true situation. The article describes the methodology by which the inflation rate is estimated by official statistics and analyzes potential sources of distortion of the estimate, concluding that the accusations are unfounded. It examines how "real" inflation is estimated and shows that it has nothing in common with reality: it is nothing more than "economic pop music."
  Content Type Journal Article
  Pages 68-90
  
  DOI 10.2753/PET1061-1991551106
  
  Authors
  K. P. Glushchenko, Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk State University, Novosibirsk
  Journal Problems of Economic Transition
  
  Print
  ISSN 1061-1991
  Journal Volume Volume 55
  Journal Issue Volume 55, Number 11 / March 2013
  PubDate: Mon, 11 Mar 2013 19:05:50 GMT