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Publisher: Emerald   (Total: 309 journals)

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A Life in the Day     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 9)
Accounting Auditing & Accountability J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 18)
Accounting Research J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 23, SJR: 0.148, h-index: 3)
Accounting, Auditing and Accountability J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 3, SJR: 0.972, h-index: 30)
Advances in Accounting Education     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 10)
Advances in Appreciative Inquiry     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 2, SJR: 0.107, h-index: 4)
Advances in Dual Diagnosis     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 27)
Advances in Mental Health and Intellectual Disabilities     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 44, SJR: 0.211, h-index: 3)
Advances in Mental Health and Learning Disabilities     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 22)
African J. of Economic and Management Studies     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 8)
Agricultural Finance Review     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 1)
Aircraft Engineering and Aerospace Technology     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 194, SJR: 0.339, h-index: 15)
American J. of Business     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 6)
Anti-Corrosion Methods and Materials     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 4, SJR: 0.309, h-index: 23)
Arts Marketing : An Intl. J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 11)
Asia Pacific J. of Marketing and Logistics     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 6)
Asia-Pacific J. of Business Administration     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 2, SJR: 0.237, h-index: 4)
Asian Education and Development Studies     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 6)
Asian J. on Quality     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 2)
Asian Review of Accounting     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 1, SJR: 0.174, h-index: 3)
Aslib J. of Information Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 2)
Aslib Proceedings     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 357, SJR: 0.558, h-index: 23)
Assembly Automation     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 1, SJR: 0.439, h-index: 20)
Baltic J. of Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 2, SJR: 0.2, h-index: 10)
Benchmarking : An Intl. J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 5, SJR: 0.554, h-index: 28)
British Food J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 7, SJR: 0.361, h-index: 25)
Built Environment Project and Asset Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 14, SJR: 0.248, h-index: 3)
Business Process Management J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 7, SJR: 0.841, h-index: 31)
Business Strategy Series     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 5, SJR: 0.151, h-index: 3)
Campus-Wide Information Systems     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 5, SJR: 0.246, h-index: 12)
Career Development Intl.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 9, SJR: 0.721, h-index: 22)
China Agricultural Economic Review     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 1, SJR: 0.419, h-index: 6)
China Finance Review Intl.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 3)
Chinese Management Studies     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 4, SJR: 0.424, h-index: 7)
Circuit World     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 13, SJR: 0.297, h-index: 15)
Clinical Governance: An Intl. J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 19, SJR: 0.176, h-index: 13)
Collection Building     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 9, SJR: 0.461, h-index: 8)
COMPEL: The Intl. J. for Computation and Mathematics in Electrical and Electronic Engineering     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 3, SJR: 0.224, h-index: 18)
Competitiveness Review : An Intl. Business J. incorporating J. of Global Competitiveness     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 3)
Construction Innovation: Information, Process, Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 14)
Corporate Communications An Intl. J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 4, SJR: 0.394, h-index: 18)
Corporate Governance Intl. J. of Business in Society     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 6, SJR: 0.345, h-index: 21)
Critical Perspectives on Intl. Business     Hybrid Journal   (SJR: 0.311, h-index: 11)
Cross Cultural Management An Intl. J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 5, SJR: 0.648, h-index: 6)
Development and Learning in Organizations     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 5, SJR: 0.123, h-index: 6)
Direct Marketing An Intl. J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 6)
Disaster Prevention and Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 13, SJR: 0.352, h-index: 24)
Drugs and Alcohol Today     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 27, SJR: 0.129, h-index: 2)
Education + Training     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 15, SJR: 0.39, h-index: 21)
Education, Business and Society : Contemporary Middle Eastern Issues     Hybrid Journal   (SJR: 0.243, h-index: 6)
Employee Relations     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 5, SJR: 0.446, h-index: 16)
Engineering Computations     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 3, SJR: 0.567, h-index: 36)
Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 16, SJR: 0.468, h-index: 20)
Equal Opportunities Intl.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 2)
Equality, Diversity and Inclusion : An Intl. J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 11, SJR: 0.37, h-index: 4)
Ethnicity and Inequalities in Health and Social Care     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 9, SJR: 0.109, h-index: 1)
EuroMed J. of Business     Hybrid Journal  
European Business Review     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 4, SJR: 0.368, h-index: 15)
European J. of Innovation Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 15, SJR: 0.442, h-index: 22)
European J. of Marketing     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 17, SJR: 0.957, h-index: 38)
European J. of Training and Development     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 8, SJR: 0.296, h-index: 18)
Evidence-based HRM     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 7)
Facilities     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 1, SJR: 0.34, h-index: 13)
foresight     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 7, SJR: 0.62, h-index: 16)
Gender in Management : An Intl. J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 10, SJR: 0.495, h-index: 17)
Grey Systems : Theory and Application     Hybrid Journal  
Health Education     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 3, SJR: 0.345, h-index: 13)
Higher Education, Skills and Work-based Learning     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 33, SJR: 0.121, h-index: 2)
History of Education Review     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 6, SJR: 0.102, h-index: 1)
Housing, Care and Support     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 8, SJR: 0.155, h-index: 3)
Human Resource Management Intl. Digest     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 12, SJR: 0.105, h-index: 5)
Humanomics     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 2, SJR: 0.104, h-index: 1)
Indian Growth and Development Review     Hybrid Journal   (SJR: 0.131, h-index: 1)
Industrial and Commercial Training     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 5, SJR: 0.318, h-index: 10)
Industrial Lubrication and Tribology     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 5, SJR: 0.46, h-index: 15)
Industrial Management & Data Systems     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 3, SJR: 0.989, h-index: 54)
Industrial Robot An Intl. J.     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 2, SJR: 0.421, h-index: 25)
Info     Hybrid Journal   (SJR: 0.337, h-index: 17)
Information and Computer Security     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 14, SJR: 0.29, h-index: 28)
Information Technology & People     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 193, SJR: 0.664, h-index: 21)
Interactive Technology and Smart Education     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 11)
Interlending & Document Supply     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 272, SJR: 0.593, h-index: 10)
Internet Research     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 245, SJR: 0.846, h-index: 44)
Intl. J. for Lesson and Learning Studies     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 2)
Intl. J. for Researcher Development     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 8)
Intl. J. of Accounting and Information Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 5, SJR: 0.265, h-index: 4)
Intl. J. of Bank Marketing     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 4, SJR: 0.672, h-index: 26)
Intl. J. of Climate Change Strategies and Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 9, SJR: 0.211, h-index: 3)
Intl. J. of Clothing Science and Technology     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 4, SJR: 0.436, h-index: 20)
Intl. J. of Commerce and Management     Hybrid Journal  
Intl. J. of Conflict Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 10, SJR: 0.322, h-index: 31)
Intl. J. of Contemporary Hospitality Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 8, SJR: 1.2, h-index: 24)
Intl. J. of Culture Tourism and Hospitality Research     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 13, SJR: 0.113, h-index: 1)
Intl. J. of Development Issues     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 6)
Intl. J. of Disaster Resilience in the Built Environment     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 5, SJR: 0.181, h-index: 5)
Intl. J. of Educational Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 3, SJR: 0.508, h-index: 16)
Intl. J. of Emergency Services     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 1)
Intl. J. of Emerging Markets     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 2)
Intl. J. of Energy Sector Management     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 4, SJR: 0.187, h-index: 7)
Intl. J. of Entrepreneurial Behaviour & Research     Hybrid Journal   (Followers: 6, SJR: 0.545, h-index: 20)

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Journal Cover   foresight
  [SJR: 0.62]   [H-I: 16]   [9 followers]  Follow
    
   Hybrid Journal Hybrid journal (It can contain Open Access articles)
   ISSN (Print) 1463-6689
   Published by Emerald Homepage  [309 journals]
  • Who rules the world?: an introduction
    • Authors: Dennis Ray Morgan
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2015.
      Citation: foresight
      PubDate: Tue, 10 Mar 2015 00:55:29 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-02-2015-0013
       
  • Who runs the world? The subconscious
    • Authors: Johan Galtung
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2015.
      Citation: foresight
      PubDate: Tue, 10 Mar 2015 00:55:27 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-02-2015-0012
       
  • Bow down all 7 billion: the compressed spheres of global governance
    • Authors: Frederick Ahen
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2015. Purpose This study answers two questions: (i) How do technologies of governance explain how global governance is enacted and (ii) what alternatives can be proposed for a sustainable future for the governed 7 billion? Design/methodology/approach Using institutional theory and Galtung’s (1971) structural theory of imperialism as critical theoretical frameworks, I confront orthodox conception of global governance by offering transformative alternatives to inequality, a ‘historically situated urgency’, which is the product of a faulty global governance system. Findings Concrete purposively sampled empirical illustrations on transnational corporations’ resource control and how ‘flight capital’ fleeces the poor to enrich the affluent are provided to aid understanding. This helps to explain how such secretive financial mechanisms perpetuate global inequality in health, education and general wellbeing. Originality/value The novelty in this study is the concept of compressed spheres of global governance which explain how both visible and invisible systems shape all the worlds of the governors and the governed as well as how they both interpret their lived experiences.
      Citation: foresight
      PubDate: Tue, 10 Mar 2015 00:55:25 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-10-2014-0065
       
  • Transforming global governance: images of futures from people on the
           periphery
    • Authors: Anita Sykes-Kelleher
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2015. Purpose The topics of an emerging planetary civilisation and its common affairs, global problems that require coordinated worldwide responses, and contested forms of globalisation are collectively stimulating an international conversation about alternatives to the current system of global governance. This article introduces new voices to the conversation, providing unconventional perspectives of possible futures to those found in much of the scholarly literature. These perspectives are those of the Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organisation (U.N.P.O.), an international non-government organisation comprising nations and peoples not represented at the United Nations (U.N.). Design/methodology/approach Collectively the discourses and worldviews of the U.N.P.O., feminists, social and environmental movements, Cosmopolitan Democrats, technocrats and the Commission on Global Governance, reveal contesting images of global governance futures in which the U.N. is transformed in ways that are aligned to emerging forms of alternative globalisations. The Causal Layered Analysis (C.L.A.) futures research method is used to construct models of each group’s preferred global governance future from elements of their discourses and deeply held ideological commitments. Findings Structural aspects are also considered and the author offers an analytical framework summarising the models against the layers of C.L.A. and the history, power base, globalisation worldview and agency congruent with each model. The models are then presented as visionary scenarios generating images of future alternatives whilst providing an opportunity to hear what the nations unrepresented in the current system have to say. Originality/value Their views produced a more inclusive, egalitarian and holistic future global governance image when compared with the ‘business as usual’ U.N. future.
      Citation: foresight
      PubDate: Tue, 10 Mar 2015 00:55:23 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-01-2014-0004
       
  • We rule the world: an emerging global class fraction?
    • Authors: Georgina Murray
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2015. Purpose To investigate who rules the world? The hypothesis is that it is the .1% of owners and controllers of capital. Design/methodology/approach Used secondary sources including the Bureau Van Dyk and The World Top Incomes database - to look at distributions of income and wealth (stock ownership). This is supplemented with secondary source analysis and with some interviews Findings The top point one per centers, the wealthy, those on the top incomes and transnational capitalist class are all distinct but overlapping categories that describe the (white) men and (few) women who hold power through their ownership and/or control of capital, and who are thereby directly or indirectly able to act hegemonic-ally, on an emerging global basis. Research limitations/implications Theorists of the global school of capitalism Alveredo, F, Atkinson, A. Piketty, T & Saez, E. (2013) The top 1 percent in International and historical Perspective, Journa; of Economic Perspectives, v.27, n.3, Summer, pp.3-20.argue that there has been a qualitatively new twenty-first century transnational capitalism in the process of emerging (see Robinson 2012a). This paper tests this assumption and relates it to the work of Hamm 2010. Originality/value This seeks to identify empirical evidence to support the theory of an emerging transnational capitalist class.
      Citation: foresight
      PubDate: Tue, 10 Mar 2015 00:55:21 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-04-2014-0022
       
  • Globalization, technology and the transnational capitalist class
    • Authors: Jerry Robert Harris
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2015. Purpose Capitalism has developed into a deeply integrative economic system of financial investments and manufacturing. This process of globalization has brought about the emergence of a transnational capitalist class that rules the world's economy. Financialization, created by the speed and interconnectivity of information technologies, is a key element that has produced immense wealth for a few while reducing their dependence on the labor of workers. This system of global accumulation has lead to a crisis of democracy with several different possible outcomes. Design/methodology/approach This paper begins with an historical examination of capitalism and capitalist class formation by tracing developments from nation-centric capitalism to globalization. A conceptual explanation of the development of the transnational capitalist class (TCC) is offered. Research on current economic data to support the thesis on the emergence of the TCC in both its private and statist forms is included, as well as an examination of the latest technology developments that affect financialization and how this impacts class relations. The conclusion analyzes the development of democracy as a class dialectic, and the impact of globalization that is altering the historic relationships between capital and labor. The paper ends with a discussion of possible political/economic futures. Findings Globalization is a new era in which capitalism has deepen its inherent tendency towards creating world markets and production. This process has been greatly enhanced by the new technological tools of financial production. Organizing and overseeing this system of global accumulation is the transnational capitalist class. The emergence of this class has transformed class relations based within the historic perimeters of nation-states, and threatens the content and character of democracy that arose out of the bourgeois democratic revolutions in America and France. Originality/value Transnational Capitalist Class Theory is a recently developed field of research. It is a new critic of mainstream international relations analysis which centers on nation to nation relationships. It also differs with world system theory which divides countries into a center/peripheral analysis. Within the field of TCC research this paper offers an original historic perspective between global economics and the development of democracy. It also makes new theoretical connections between IT, financialization and the destruction of the social contract.
      Citation: foresight
      PubDate: Tue, 10 Mar 2015 00:55:19 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-03-2014-0016
       
  • Six treatments of global ruling power/governance and prospects for the
           future: an overview
    • Authors: Dennis Ray Morgan
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2015. Purpose The aim of this paper is to test and explore the hypothesis global ruling power, as well as review the six approaches featured in the special edition on global governance/ruling power. Design/methodology/approach Anthropological and historical records are presented as support for the emergence of ruling power in society; moreover, evidence of global ruling governance/power is reviewed in the six papers featured in the special edition. Findings Alternatives for global governance are reviewed in two papers, while four papers present evidence in support of the thesis of the emergence of a transnational ruling power/class. Research limitations/implications Since global ruling power exists informally and surreptitiously, the exact mechanisms of control are difficult to delineate, especially due to the fact that the Powers That Be spend much effort to block research into this area; however, this special edition opens up a promising area for new research efforts into global ruling power and the potential for global democracy. Practical implications Practical implications, though minimal in the short-term, increase as awareness grows and policy alternatives are considered for the transition to a long-term, democratic global future. Originality/value This paper represents a relatively new area for interdisciplinary research into global futures. Futurists, political scientists, and sociologists should find it valuable.
      Citation: foresight
      PubDate: Tue, 10 Mar 2015 00:55:16 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-01-2015-0005
       
  • When battle and duplicity determine power
    • Authors: Jacques G Richardson
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2015.
      Citation: foresight
      PubDate: Tue, 10 Mar 2015 00:55:14 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-02-2014-0010
       
  • Alternative futures of global governance: scenarios and perspectives from
           the Global South
    • Authors: Shermon Ortega Cruz
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2015. Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide a critical and informative exploration of the emerging roles and rising influence of the Global South in shaping the future of global governance. Specifically it inquires into the following questions: How is the Global South impacting the way we govern globally? What are the pushers, pulls, and weights to the futures of global governance? Using Jim Dator’s alternative futures archetype, what is the future of global governance? What are the emerging issues and trends? Design/methodology/approach It employs Sohail Inayatullah’s futures triangle to map the drivers – the pushes, pulls and weights of global governance and Jim Dator’s archetypes – continued economic growth, collapse, conserver and transformation - to imagine and construct alternative futures of global governance. Findings The futures triangle analysis maps and reveals three diverse but causally linked Global South narratives of global governance. The pulls of the future include the BRICS leading the way, and emerging economies reinforcing the pluralization of global governance discourses and systems. New governance regimes create new global governance dynamics and North-South relations. Their increasing social, political and economic clout leads to new governance structures. The Global South’s rising human development index, economic growth, decreasing financial reliance, the rise of mini-lateralism and South-south cooperation is a push of the present. Weights are recurring financial constraints, their lack of technical capacity, existing international laws, stagnating bureaucracy, poverty, domestic issues, and State centrism (among others). Four alternative global governance scenarios emerge: a harmonious world is everybody’s business – a state-centric and economic growth global governance future. Here, the dynamics of global governance remain the same as zero-sum thinking informs the rules of the game. In dangerous transitions and the rise of the rest, however, the status quo is disrupted as power shifts rapidly and detrimentally. Then, in mosaic of the old structure, the South embraces protectionism, and the old vanguards return. Finally, in all boats rise substantially, power is redistributed as emerging states gain larger, formal (and informal) leadership roles in global governance. The global world order is re-designed for the Global South. A world parliament is created and stronger regional unions emerge. Research limitations/implications This paper extensively utilizes existing and emerging literature, official reports, blogs, interviews, books and other digital texts on global governance. The sources relevance is analyzed using the futures triangle tool and dissected to present four detailed scenarios using Dator’s alternative futures archetype. This study seeks to initially explore alternative futures of global governance from the perspective of the Global South. While some studies have approached the topic, only a few authors have addressed global governance using futures tools and methods. The goal of this research is to map and explore some alternative futures of global governance. The paper is less useful in predicting what lies ahead. Its intention is to highlight the “rise of the different” and create a space for more meaningful conversations on global governance. Practical implications This research could provide futurists, policymakers, international relations scholars and global governance advocates some alternative narratives, frameworks and images of global governance. While it does not offer any specific structures and solutions, it offers a number of emerging issues and perspectives from the Global south that decision-makers and institutions might want to consider as they rethink global governance. Originality/value It maps and constructs some plausible scenarios of global governance that emphasize Global South perspectives while using futures tools and methods.
      Citation: foresight
      PubDate: Tue, 10 Mar 2015 00:55:12 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-05-2014-0030
       
  • The end of democracy as we knew it
    • Authors: Bernd Hamm
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2015. Purpose This paper begins by summarizing the major theoretical elements in the definition of a global ruling class. It then examines how neoconservatives in the US took power and used regime change to install US-friendly governments in other regions. A strategy of tension is used to press the American population into conformity. But the real revolution is to what extent factual politics escape any attempt to democratic control. Design/methodology/approach The research relies on case studies of material already published and provides a synthesis. Findings Three case studies show how far the Deep State already goes. Democracy is on the brink of survival. Originality/value This paper is an original hypothesis of the potential end of democracy as we know it, supported by empirical data.
      Citation: foresight
      PubDate: Tue, 10 Mar 2015 00:55:09 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-04-2014-0024
       
  • Aspirational guidance for wiser futures: Toward open-sourced ascension
           from ego-centric to eco-centric human communities
    • Authors: Oliver Markley et al
      First page: 1
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 1, March 2015. Purpose To explore and demonstrate how the meme of aspiration can help guide human cultures through a global megacrisis and epochal transformation to a "soft landing" of resilient sustainability, abundant well-being and psychosocial evolution Design/methodology/approach Aspirational Futures Process, intuition-based visioning and “Type II” thinking that has high credibility for knowledgeable experts but low credibility to most others. Findings 1) Megacrisis is a Type II wild card needing anticipatory mitigation via strategies such as are suggested. 2) While descent paths may be a suitable meme for technical professionals, ascent paths to higher levels of civilizational maturity is a better guiding image for the public. 3) Aspirational methods whose core involves intuition-based creativity, wisdom and co-creative emergence are a vital complement to rational/analytic futures methods, especially in times of epochal change and uncertainty when a new “regime” of guiding world views, institutional processes and innovative technologies may emerge. Research limitations/implications These results represent a high degree of uncertainly as well as ‘fringe” thinking needing to be more widely considered. Practical implications Strategic suggestions based on Type II thinking are a unique category for “leading edge” funding and application. Originality/value The Type II aspirational perspective offered here is unique and offers a promising approach for transformative megacrisis mitigation.
      PubDate: Wed, 28 Jan 2015 01:10:51 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-01-2014-0005
       
  • The next K-Wave and the challenge of global democracy
    • Authors: Markku Wilenius et al
      First page: 35
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 1, March 2015. Purpose The aim of the project on which this paper is based is to clarify – using Kondratieff theory of long-term socio-economic cycles – how the next (sixth) wave will look like. The focus lies in the socio-political aspect of change. Design/methodology/approach The article is a short and partial summary of a major project called “The Sixth Wave”. Workshops and surveys have been run in Finland and in Silicon Valley, California. Findings The project coordinators have been testing the theory of Kondratieff waves with various methods and have found it to be a convincing way to identify the patterns of change. It really brings in anticipatory power to its users. Research limitations/implications There are lots of interesting implications of using K-Wave as a framework to understand next decades. More research regarding the future technologies in the K-Wave context should be undertaken. Practical implications The author believes that the K-Wave framework can be also regarded as anticipatory tool for business. The heavy emphasis in the author’s K-wave theory on resource productivity as a technology driver for the next wave makes it obvious that all technologies and businesses that aim at performing with greater output with less material or energy input are regarded as winners of their respective schemes in the emerging wave as the demand for these services will rise dramatically. Originality/value The project coordinators have given a whole new interpretation to the Kondratieff theory. They approach the theory with social science framework rather than customary economic framework, and have also tested their model with the project’s industrial partners.
      PubDate: Wed, 28 Jan 2015 01:10:47 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-09-2013-0049
       
  • Knowledge management and global climate change regime negotiations
    • Authors: Mohamad Zakaria et al
      First page: 53
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 1, March 2015. Purpose This paper discusses some of the important factors that negotiators and policy makers need to take into account while putting their strategies to negotiate global climate change regimes. Design/methodology/approach This paper is based on qualitative research using the deductive approach. Integrating the theoretical and empirical material in the analysis is used to enhance the readers’ value and interest in the paper. Findings Without deep understanding of why some international negotiations related to climate change have previously failed it is difficult to successfully negotiate them in the future. Flexibility and openness during negotiations and to consider the views and concerns of all global actors in finding optimum solutions and cooperation are among the many essential factors that bring the world leaders into a compromise agreement and a global climate change regime. Knowledge management including taking into account the discussed factors may help the negotiators and public to be more prepared to understand the obstacles that may complicate negotiating the international climate change regimes. Research limitations/implications This paper is not intended for those who have years of experience in climate change negotiations nor for those seeking deep theoretical knowledge about this topic. Practical implications This paper has practical implications as it combines the theories of international relations with practical evidences from previous Conference of the Parties of the UNFCCC. Originality/value The paper deals with a very important and current issue and little has been published on the process of preparation for negotiating climate change negotiation. It covers some critical issues and determining factors in such negotiations.
      PubDate: Wed, 28 Jan 2015 01:10:50 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-11-2013-0066
       
  • Forecasting inflation in G-7 countries - an application of artificial
           neural network
    • Authors: SANJEEV GUPTA et al
      First page: 63
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 1, March 2015. Purpose The paper aims to evaluate different artificial neural network models and suggest a suitable model for forecasting inflation in G-7 countries. Design/methodology/approach The study applies different combination of neural networks with hyperbolic tangent function using backpropagation learning with the steepest gradient descent technique to monthly data on Consumer Price Index (a measure of inflation) of USA, UK, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and Canada. Findings Prediction of inflation based on Consumer Price Index for all the seven countries divulged that in near prospective, it is expected that rate of inflation will decline marginally. Practical implications The results proposed in this study will be benchmark for the policy makers, economists and practitioners to foresee inflation and design policies accordingly. Originality/value The paper's findings provide strong evidence to the policy makers that while constructing the models for forecasting inflation, the suggested models can be used to track the future rates of inflation and further they can apply that model in framing policies.
      PubDate: Wed, 28 Jan 2015 01:10:49 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-09-2013-0045
       
  • The importance of non-equilibrium in the development of economic system
           (thermodynamic approach)
    • Authors: Stefan Volner et al
      First page: 74
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 1, March 2015. Purpose New non-equilibrium systems theory is a very important theoretical and methodological base of survey and understanding of contemporary economic systems and processes. Equilibrium is considered one of the basic conditions of existence and evolution of natural and social systems, according to scientific literature. Generally speaking, it can be presented as a true. But the problem is that classical imagination perceives equilibrium as something real and stable, something more stable than basic condition of evolution of systems. Non-equilibrium state was usually understood as something negative, something destructive; something which has to be eliminated. Non-equilibrium state was understood as an anomaly, as an expression of weakening of system security, as a road to extinction. Thermodynamics comes with an idea that equilibrium is a “short” state of the system, equilibrium is very relative and all systems try to meet it but they will never reach it. Equilibrium is usually connected with classical science and non-equilibrium state is connected with thermodynamics paradigm, with new methodology of science. Non-equilibrium state is often seen as a basic condition, as an internal source of system evolution and its activities. Non-equilibrium state is a base of new arrangement of systems. Misunderstanding of contemporary non-equilibrium state theory, new expressions or aspects of dynamic processes, can bring about negative impacts on the survey and establishment of new global economic system, e.g. new national and local economic systems. Therefore the non-equilibrium state theory is a methodological base of new perception and survey of contemporary economic systems. Design/methodology/approach A study of non-equillibrium thermodynamics. Findings Irreversibility and non-equilibrium, occurring in each process and evolutionary phase of economic systems, are connected with accidents and openness. Openness of systems enables (and causes) diversification towards wider system or environment and penetration of external elements and processes to internal structure of the system. A system like this is more sensitive to external and internal changes. Considering the previously mentioned it is very important to be aware of the fact that entropy has different behavior in “closed” systems; different from behavior in open systems. Open economic systems communicate with external environment, interact with external systems and they exchange the energy. They consume energy of external environment and penetrate it. Elements, nodes and joints in open systems can communicate, connect and integrate with elements, nodes and joints from external systems. The growth of entropy is “smoother” and equilibrium of the system, its sub-systems and elements, proceeds despite of the non-equilibrium state of elements of own system. They have to communicate and exchange the energy with external environment. It is because of the non-equilibrium state. Originality/value This is an original thermodynamic approach to the importance of non-equilibrium in the development of economic systems.
      PubDate: Wed, 28 Jan 2015 01:10:52 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-08-2013-0042
       
  • The great divide, nature and human nature in the old world and the new
    • Authors: Jacques G RICHARDSON et al
      First page: 85
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 1, March 2015.
      PubDate: Wed, 28 Jan 2015 01:10:48 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-02-2014-0012
       
  • Everything connects: How to transform and lead in the age of creativity,
           innovation and sustainability
    • Authors: Maya Zhukovskaya et al
      First page: 88
      Abstract: Foresight, Volume 17, Issue 1, March 2015.
      PubDate: Wed, 28 Jan 2015 01:10:52 GMT
      DOI: 10.1108/FS-12-2014-0083
       
 
 
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